// ~->[DNET-1]->~

// File created by someone at MonashUniv using Netica 2.06 on Apr 14, 2004 at 16:07:42.

bnet es_wrong {
autoupdate = TRUE;
whenchanged = 1081922815;

visual V1 {
	defdispform = BELIEFBARS;
	nodelabeling = TITLE;
	NodeMaxNumEntries = 50;
	nodefont = font {shape= "Arial"; size= 10;};
	linkfont = font {shape= "Arial"; size= 9;};
	windowposn = (22, 22, 778, 494);
	resolution = 72;
	drawingbounds = (1046, 769);
	showpagebreaks = FALSE;
	usegrid = TRUE;
	gridspace = (6, 6);
	PrinterSetting A {
		margins = (1270, 1270, 1270, 1270);
		landscape = FALSE;
		magnify = 1;
		};
	};

node Type {
	kind = NATURE;
	discrete = TRUE;
	states = (Type1, Type2);
	parents = ();
	probs = 
		// Type1        Type2        
		  (0.8,         0.2);
	title = "Urn Type";
	whenchanged = 1081916866;
	belief = (0.8, 0.2);
	visual V1 {
		center = (126, 144);
		height = 1;
		};
	};

node Draw1 {
	kind = NATURE;
	discrete = TRUE;
	states = (Red, Black);
	parents = (Type);
	probs = 
		// Red          Black          // Type  
		 ((0.4,         0.6),          // Type1 
		  (0.9,         0.1));         // Type2 ;
	title = "Draw 1 Ball";
	whenchanged = 1081922452;
	belief = (0.5, 0.5);
	visual V1 {
		center = (384, 144);
		height = 2;
		};
	};

node Continue {
	kind = DECISION;
	discrete = TRUE;
	states = (true, false);
	parents = (Draw1);
	functable = 
		                    // Draw1 
		  (false,           // Red   
		   false);          // Black ;
	title = "Continue";
	whenchanged = 1081922433;
	belief = (1, 0);
	visual V1 {
		center = (606, 144);
		height = 5;
		};
	};

node Replacement {
	kind = DECISION;
	discrete = TRUE;
	chance = DETERMIN;
	states = (true, false);
	parents = (Draw1, Continue);
	functable = 
		                     // Draw1 Continue 
		 ((false,            // Red   true     
		   false),           // Red   false    
		  (true,             // Black true     
		   true));           // Black false    ;
	whenchanged = 1081921834;
	visual V1 {
		center = (606, 264);
		height = 6;
		link 1 {
			path = ((433, 172), (556, 237));
			};
		};
	};

node Draw2 {
	kind = NATURE;
	discrete = TRUE;
	chance = CHANCE;
	states = (Red, Black);
	parents = (Type, Replacement, Draw1);
	probs = 
		//  Red          Black            // Type  Replacement Draw1 
		((((0.4,         0.6),            // Type1 true        Red   
		   (0.4,         0.6)),           // Type1 true        Black 
		  ((0.3333333,   0.6666667),      // Type1 false       Red   
		   (0.4444444,   0.5555555))),    // Type1 false       Black 
		 (((0.9,         0.1),            // Type2 true        Red   
		   (0.9,         0.1)),           // Type2 true        Black 
		  ((0.8888898,   0.1111101),      // Type2 false       Red   
		   (1,           0))));           // Type2 false       Black ;
	title = "Draw Another Ball";
	whenchanged = 1081922815;
	belief = (0.5, 0.5);
	visual V1 {
		center = (600, 378);
		height = 7;
		link 1 {
			path = ((180, 172), (545, 351));
			};
		link 3 {
			path = ((408, 172), (575, 351));
			};
		};
	};

node Guess {
	kind = DECISION;
	discrete = TRUE;
	chance = DETERMIN;
	states = (Type1, Type2);
	parents = (Draw1, Continue, Replacement, Draw2);
	functable = 
		                       // Draw1 Continue Replacement Draw2 
		((((Type2,              // Red   true     true        Red   
		    Type1),             // Red   true     true        Black 
		   (Type2,              // Red   true     false       Red   
		    Type1)),            // Red   true     false       Black 
		  ((Type2,              // Red   false    true        Red   
		    Type1),             // Red   false    true        Black 
		   (Type2,              // Red   false    false       Red   
		    Type1))),           // Red   false    false       Black 
		 (((Type1,              // Black true     true        Red   
		    Type1),             // Black true     true        Black 
		   (Type1,              // Black true     false       Red   
		    Type1)),            // Black true     false       Black 
		  ((Type1,              // Black false    true        Red   
		    Type1),             // Black false    true        Black 
		   (Type1,              // Black false    false       Red   
		    Type1))));          // Black false    false       Black ;
	title = "Guess Urn";
	whenchanged = 1081921583;
	visual V1 {
		center = (126, 378);
		height = 8;
		};
	};

node U {
	kind = UTILITY;
	discrete = FALSE;
	measure = RATIO;
	chance = DETERMIN;
	parents = (Type, Guess, Continue);
	functable = 
		                   // Type  Guess Continue 
		(((26.5,           // Type1 Type1 true     
		   31),            // Type1 Type1 false    
		  (-18.5,          // Type1 Type2 true     
		   -14)),          // Type1 Type2 false    
		 ((-33.5,          // Type2 Type1 true     
		   -29),           // Type2 Type1 false    
		  (86.5,           // Type2 Type2 true     
		   91)));          // Type2 Type2 false    ;
	title = "Utility";
	whenchanged = 1081921718;
	visual V1 {
		center = (126, 264);
		height = 3;
		};
	};

node Play {
	kind = DECISION;
	discrete = TRUE;
	chance = DETERMIN;
	states = (true);
	parents = ();
	functable = 
		   true;
	title = "Play";
	whenchanged = 1081920143;
	belief = (1);
	visual V1 {
		center = (258, 48);
		height = 4;
		};
	};
ElimOrder = (Type, Play, Guess, Draw2, Replacement, Continue, Draw1);
};